Allocation Lab

Growth of $10,000: 40/60 Portfolio

A $10,000 investment in the 40/60 Portfolio at the start of 1996 would have grown to $55,163 by 2026 — about 5.5× the original stake over 30 years, based on historical data.

Final value (2026)$55,163
CAGR+7.74%
Max Drawdown-18.8%
Inflation-adjusted$29,296

30-Year Growth of $10,000

40/60 Portfolio
── Actual ETF data   ╌╌ Proxy index data

What the numbers mean

Over this 30-year window the 40/60 Portfolio compounded at roughly 7.74%per year. That growth was not a straight line: the strategy's worst peak-to-trough decline reached -18.8%, a reminder that even the steadiest allocations go through painful stretches.

Its best single year returned +16.8% (2009), while its worst year fell -13.4% (2008). Adjusted for inflation, the ending $55,163 is worth about $29,296 in 1996 dollars — the real purchasing power your money would have gained after rising prices are stripped out.

These figures assume the strategy's target weights (the conservative flip side of the classic 60/40 — more bonds, less equity.) rebalanced annual, with no additional contributions or withdrawals. To model your own contributions, withdrawal rate, or a different mix, open this allocation in the portfolio simulator.

Annual Returns

'96'97'98'99'00'01'02'03'04'05'06'07'08'09'10'11'12'13'14'15'16'17'18'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26
-1+13+12+9+4+2-1+1+6+1+6+2-13+17+12+7+7+9+10-1+8+12+1+14+10+8-8+9+12+11+5

Hypothetical historical performance based on backtested data. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This site is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Full disclaimer