Allocation Lab

Growth of $10,000: Swensen Lazy Portfolio

A $10,000 investment in the Swensen Lazy Portfolio at the start of 2007 would have grown to $30,563 by 2026 — about 3.1× the original stake over 19 years, based on historical data.

Final value (2026)$30,563
CAGR+6.03%
Max Drawdown-27.6%
Inflation-adjusted$18,044

19-Year Growth of $10,000

Swensen Lazy Portfolio
── Actual ETF data   ╌╌ Proxy index data

What the numbers mean

Over this 19-year window the Swensen Lazy Portfolio compounded at roughly 6.03%per year. That growth was not a straight line: the strategy's worst peak-to-trough decline reached -27.6%, a reminder that even the steadiest allocations go through painful stretches.

Its best single year returned +21.7% (2009), while its worst year fell -21.3% (2008). Adjusted for inflation, the ending $30,563 is worth about $18,044 in 2007 dollars — the real purchasing power your money would have gained after rising prices are stripped out.

These figures assume the strategy's target weights (swensen's simplified five-fund recipe — global equities plus nominal and inflation-protected bonds.) rebalanced annual, with no additional contributions or withdrawals. To model your own contributions, withdrawal rate, or a different mix, open this allocation in the portfolio simulator.

Annual Returns

'07'08'09'10'11'12'13'14'15'16'17'18'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26
-1-21+22+13+5+9+7+7-4+11+14-2+13+13+7-8+8+11+15+6

Hypothetical historical performance based on backtested data. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This site is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Full disclaimer