Asset Allocation Lab

Coffeehouse Portfolio (Bill Schultheis)

Created by Bill Schultheis

A seven-fund index portfolio built to be simple enough to manage from a coffee shop.

What is it?

The Coffeehouse Portfolio comes from financial advisor Bill Schultheis's 1998 book "The Coffeehouse Investor," whose central message was that sound investing does not require constant attention or complexity. It splits equities into six equal 10% slices — large-cap, large-cap value, small-cap, small-cap value, REITs, and international — with the remaining 40% held in bonds.

The philosophy

Schultheis's core argument was that most investors sabotage their own returns by trading too frequently, chasing performance, and paying high fees to active managers, when a simple, low-cost, well-diversified portfolio set up once and left alone would outperform over time. The "coffeehouse" framing was deliberate: the portfolio should be simple enough that an investor could set it up, review it occasionally over coffee, and otherwise get on with their life without needing to monitor markets daily.

How it works

The equity side deliberately tilts toward factors with long-run academic support for higher expected returns: value stocks and small-cap stocks each get their own dedicated slice alongside plain large-cap and international exposure, rather than being left to however a plain total-market fund happens to weight them. REITs add a real estate return stream distinct from the rest of the equity sleeve. The large 40% bond allocation — bigger than in several other strategies on this site — reflects Schultheis's emphasis on capital preservation and a smoother ride as being just as important as growth.

Who is it for?

This strategy suits investors who want factor-tilted diversification (value and small-cap premiums, plus real estate) but are not willing to actively manage or rebalance frequently, and who prefer a moderate 60% equity/40% bond overall risk level. It is a good fit for someone who wants a "set it and mostly forget it" portfolio with more nuance than a plain three-fund approach.

Key strengths & trade-offs

Its strength is meaningful diversification across value and size factors within equities, plus real estate, all wrapped in a moderate 60/40 overall risk profile that limits drawdowns. Its trade-off is more moving parts than a three- or four-fund portfolio — seven funds to buy, hold, and rebalance — and factor tilts like value and small-cap can underperform plain large-cap growth stocks for extended periods, which has been a common frustration for investors following factor-based portfolios over the past decade.

Risk Level

balanced

Rebalancing

annual

Number of Assets

7

Best For

Long-term investors wanting a smoother ride than all-equity

Current Allocation

US Large Cap10%
US Large Value10%
US Small Cap10%
US Small Cap Value10%
REITs10%
Total International10%
US Total Bond Market40%

Performance: 26.1-Year Backtest

Data for US Small Cap Value starts 1998. Simulation covers 26.1 years.

Jun 2000Oct 2007Jul 2010Apr 2013Jan 2016Oct 2018Jul 2021Apr 2024$0$15,000$30,000$45,000$60,000
Coffeehouse Portfolio (Bill Schultheis)── Actual ETF data   ╌╌ Proxy index data

$10,000 initial investment → $42,806

Annual Returns

Strategy200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Coffeehouse Portfolio (Bill Schultheis)+3.9%+2.9%-3.5%+4.1%+6.8%+4.9%+5.3%-3.0%-23.3%+27.3%+18.2%+5.0%+10.3%+10.4%+10.4%-3.5%+14.5%+11.8%-0.5%+11.4%+8.4%+10.2%-5.5%+4.3%+11.3%+11.8%+6.3%

Key Metrics

CAGR+6.97%
Max Drawdown-33.8%
Volatility10.5%
Sharpe Ratio0.51
Sortino Ratio0.75
Best / Worst Year2009 / 2008

Based on historical data. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This site is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.