Allocation Lab

Margarita Portfolio

Created by Bogleheads community

Three equal slices — stocks, bonds, and gold — for a simple all-weather tilt.

Current Allocation

US Total Market34%
US Total Bond Market33%
Gold33%

How This Strategy Maps to ETFs

Asset ClassWeightETF
US Total Market34%VTI
US Total Bond Market33%BND
Gold33%GLD

Performance: 25.8-Year Backtest

Data for Gold starts 2000. Simulation covers 25.8 years.

Margarita Portfolio
── Actual ETF data   ╌╌ Proxy index data

$10,000 initial investment → $56,359

Annual Returns

2000–2013

'00'01'02'03'04'05'06'07'08'09'10'11'12'13
-3+3-3+6+6+8-1+13-12+18+17+14+4-1

2014–2026

'14'15'16'17'18'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26
+8-5+11+130+17+15+5-4+9+21+30+0

Key Metrics

CAGR+8.48%
Max Drawdown-19.1%
Volatility8.7%
Sharpe Ratio0.75
Sortino Ratio1.24
Best / Worst Year2025 / 2008

What is it?

The Margarita Portfolio is a Bogleheads-community strategy that splits a portfolio into three roughly equal parts: US stocks, investment-grade bonds, and gold. The playful name evokes a cocktail with three ingredients — and like the drink, the portfolio is deliberately simple: no international equities, no REITs, no factor tilts, just three distinct return drivers at one-third each.

The philosophy

The idea is to combine the Boglehead preference for low-cost index funds with a permanent gold allocation as an inflation and crisis hedge — similar in spirit to Harry Browne's Permanent Portfolio, but without long-term bonds or cash, and with a larger equity slice. By keeping all three sleeves at equal weight through rebalancing, the investor systematically trims whichever asset has run ahead and adds to whichever has lagged, without needing to forecast which will perform best next.

How it works

The US total market sleeve (34%) captures broad domestic equity growth across all company sizes and sectors. The total bond market sleeve (33%) provides stability, income, and a partial buffer during equity downturns. The gold sleeve (33%) acts as a portfolio hedge — historically performing well during inflation spikes, currency concerns, and periods of geopolitical stress when both stocks and bonds can struggle simultaneously.

Who is it for?

This strategy suits investors who want radical simplicity with a built-in inflation hedge, but find the Permanent Portfolio's four equal slices (including long bonds and cash) too conservative or complex. It fits a moderate risk tolerance and medium-to-long time horizon — more growth-oriented than the Permanent Portfolio thanks to its 34% equity weight, but still meaningfully more defensive than a 60/40 thanks to the one-third gold allocation.

Key strengths & trade-offs

Its strength is elegant three-fund simplicity with a dedicated inflation hedge that a standard 60/40 completely lacks — gold has historically provided positive returns during some of the worst periods for stocks and bonds together. Its trade-off is no international diversification (the entire equity sleeve is US-only), gold's long stretches of zero yield and occasional multi-year underperformance, and a 66% allocation to non-equity assets that will lag during sustained stock bull markets.

Historical performance in context

The Margarita Portfolio's one-third gold allocation gave it a very different crisis profile from a plain 60/40: gold's resilience in 2008 and its strength during the inflationary stretch of 2022 repeatedly offset weakness in stocks and bonds, keeping drawdowns moderate. The cost showed during gold's flat 2013-2018 years and long equity bull markets, when a third of the portfolio sitting in a zero-yield metal caused it to lag stock-heavy strategies.

Common variations

A common tweak is swapping the US-only stock sleeve for a globally diversified fund to add international diversification the base recipe lacks. Some investors trim gold toward 10-20% and add bonds or TIPS, edging toward the Permanent Portfolio. Others implement gold with a physically backed fund like GLD. It is a simple, inflation-aware lazy portfolio at heart.

Risk Level

balanced

Rebalancing

annual

Number of Assets

3

Best For

Long-term investors wanting a smoother ride than all-equity

Before using this allocation

  • • Match the strategy's drawdown history to the amount of loss you could tolerate without abandoning the plan.
  • • Check whether its stock, bond, international, and inflation-sensitive sleeves address the risks that matter for your time horizon.
  • • Compare the same historical period and rebalancing rule against alternatives before changing a target allocation.

Related reading

Hypothetical historical performance based on backtested data. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This site is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Full disclaimer